The Gambler Expert Advice:
Making the Call: Betting Strategy for Caribbean
Stud Poker By
J.
Phillip Vogel,the
Editorial Director for DoubleDown Media Inc in Sportsbook Casinos
"Do
you know what the best thing about this game is?" Jim
said as he pulled his chair up next to me at the Caribbean
Stud table. "You can play for a long time before running
out of money. I don't know why casinos keep these games around!"
That's a typical and all-too-common sentiment felt by most
players of the game Caribbean Stud poker. They think that
just because it takes them longer to go broke, it must be
an easy game.
"I thought the object of gambling was winning,"
I responded. "Not seeing how long takes to lose."
"Well sure," he said. "But I always lose anyway,
so I might as well play a game that I like. Besides, this
one's really easy."Sound familiar?
If you ask most players if they're good at Caribbean Stud,
they typically answerI've got some news for you. Any game
is easy to play. Playing, however, is very different from
winning. To win, you have to play correctly, using the proper
strategy
and
money management techniques that professionals have been preaching
for decades.
Let's take a quick test and see how well you know the basic
strategy for Caribbean Stud.
Which
of the following hands would you never make the call bet on?
Player
hclass="padding"as A-K-10-4-2 (unsuited) with the dealer exposing an ace.
Player
has Q-J-7-2-2 with the dealer exposing a 10.
Player
has K-10-8-8-5 with the dealer exposing an 8.
If you answered number one, congratulations -you're wrong,
and you're one of the majority of players who thinks that
just because a game looks easy, it must be. The truth is,
each of these hands is of sufficient strength to warrant play.
And while you may have known that you must play any pair,
you lack the strategic knowledge necessary to fully compete
at this game, and in the not-so-long run that fact will ruin
your bankroll.
Compared to other games, Caribbean Stud is tough for the simple
fact that casinos have a relatively high edge: 5.26% on the
ante bets, which reduces to about 2.5% when the call bets
are taken into account. Of course these figures go right out
the window unless the correct strategy is followed.
Before we get into the strategy for the games, let's take
a look at some of the most common and Folding
on all pairs under 5.
Since the call
bet is twice the amount of the ante, some players refuse to
play low pairs. Too risky, they say. Statistically, however,
44% of all hands will not even contain a qualifying set; no
pair, no ace-king, nothing. Another 6.08% of the time, the
dealer will be holding an ace-king-x-x-x, (where x represents
unpaired, non-suited, non-sequential cards.). The result:
even the weakest pair will beat the dealer 50.08% of the time
Calling
on an ace-king, but folding on a pair of twos.
This method of playing is based on the misguided notion that
if the player doesn't have a pair, then neither does the dealer.
Flat out, it's a bad move.
As I've already shown a pair of twos will beat the dealer
50.08% of the time, while ace-king hands will fall within
the range of 44% to 50.08%, depending on the strength of the
remaining cards in the hand.
Playing
Ace-Queen-X-X-X hands.
Inexperienced players call on this hand because under the
right circumstances it can look powerful. For example, the
hand A-Q-J-10-9, (unsuited) looks strong, but it is in reality
worthless. Since the only way this hand can win is for the
dealer to have nothing, there is no good reason why this play
should ever be made.
Betting
all hands.
Some players routinely "bluff" the dealer, regardless
of the strength of their hand. Since the dealer will have
a qualifying hand 56% of the time, even large bankroll cannot
withstand the constant draw.
Now that you know what not to do, it's time to see exactly
what you must do to get the edge down. The following table
lists the rules for making the call bet.
From this
table you can see that a pair of 8's or higher has a statistical
expectation for winning regardless of the dealer's exposed
card. With 5's, 6's or 7's, however, the strength of the hand
is directly related to that card. Since the dealer has a greater
chance for exposing one of his paired cards (40% of the hand
makes up the pair) players have a greater chance of winning
when the dealer exposes a card of equal or lesser value then
their pair. However, despite the dealer's card, you must still
make the call bet on any pair.
Hands
like A-K-Q-X-X, A-K-J-X-X, and A-K-10-X-X, are the weakest
playable hands, with a very low win expectation. For these
hands, the call bet is made only when the dealer's exposed
card matches any card in your hand. Any other hand that you
are dealt is considered garbage and should be folded.
You're now set with the optimal strategy for making the call
bets in Caribbean Stud poker. As you can see there aren't
as many rules as found in games like blackjack, but they are
important rules nonetheless. Knowing them will help reduce
the edge down to it's lowest attainable value and help you
to start walking away with a profit, instead of just taking
longer to lose.§
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